Arkansas State (@3.4) vs Troy (@1.3)
28-09-2019

Our Prediction:

Troy will win

Arkansas State – Troy Match Prediction | 28-09-2019 18:00

But the Trojans badly want to emerge as the best Sun Belt team to come along in awhile, and perhaps earn a postseason ranking in the top 25. Troy has had almost a dream season with exception of a mid-season slip-up to South Alabama and that game can be written off as a hangover weekend. The Trojans had just upset LSU.

Jordan Chunn has led all rushers by more than twofold, but he was the only skill player to find space in the Trojans near-loss to Idaho. Second, Troy must get more than one RB involved in the ground game. Its not enough for Chunn to get 100+ rushing or for Brandon Silvers to get 250+ through the air. Troy must play a balanced, flexible game to put up touchdowns and stay ahead of the Wolves.

Arkansas State (5-4) vs. Troy (8-1) Game Preview

Logan Bonner and the Arkansas State Red Wolves go to Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the Troy Trojans. The Red Wolves are 1-3-0 ATS and 2-2-0 when betting on the total. The Trojans are 2-1-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-2-0 against the spread. Arkansas State opens this game as 6.5-point dogs.

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His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy,college and professional ranks.

UPCOMING GAMES

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy,college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone.

This is the game they can make yet another statement in the run for the New Years Six spot from the Group of 5 programs, with the only loss coming at Clemson. The Trojans still have to to go on the road to deal with Texas State and Georgia Southern after this, but forget about it this is it. This is the one.

Luke Whittemore was the receiving yardage leader by earning 64 yards on 7 catches. In their last contest, the Troy Trojans played the Akron Zips and won by a score of 35-7. The Troy Trojans ended up running the ball 56 times and racked up a total of 270 yards giving them an average of 4.8 yards per carry. In the game, they conceded a total of 242 yards and earned 2 takeaways. Running the show from under center for the Trojans was Kaleb Barker who went 27/37 with 214 yards passing and tossed 3 TD's. On the day, they totaled 95 plays for a total of 485 yards. He ran for 100 yards by way of 22 carries which meant he averaged 4.5 yards per tote. When discussing the defense, Troy gave up 16 catches on 32 throws for a total of 203 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%. In the game, the Trojans earned a total of 32 1st downs and they totaled 3 infractions for 24 yards which is telling of the great week of practice this squad had. He earned an average of 9.1 yards per catch for the game. He tossed 1 pick during the game. Against the run, the Trojans gave up 39 yards on 18 tries which gave them an average of 2.2 yards per carry allowed. DK Billingsley led the team on the ground for the game. He tore off a long run of 16 yards and he notched 1 touchdown for the game.

Arkansas State

Its irrelevant to the team at this stage of the season. Arkansas State has done an about-face for Blake Anderson behind the run-pass option of running backWarren Wand and quarterbackJustice Hansen, respectively, on offense and a skilled at getting pressure off the edge. The Red Wolves have yielded an average of just 16 points during the five-game winning streak, fueled by outside rushers Chris Odom and JaVon Rolland-Jones. Take whatever was learned about the Red Wolves in September and flush it. In Saturdays win over New Mexico State, the pair combined for six tackles for loss and four sacks.

When it comes to rushing yards, they are conceding 67 yards per game ranking them 8th in college football and 1st in the Sun Belt Conference. The Trojans are allowing 22.7 points per game ranking them 3rd in the Sun Belt and 50th in college football. Troy is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 179.7 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 52nd in D-1. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Trojans have one of the most prolific offenses in the country. They are allowing 270 passing yards per game. The Trojans head into this game 2-1. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre units in college football. This season, they have given up 201 yards rushing and 2.1 rushing touchdowns. For passing yards allowed per game, the Trojans sit in 7th in the Sun Belt Conference. When it comes to points given up, they have allowed 68 points in total. The Trojans average 513.3 yards per contest overall ranking them 15th in the country and 2nd in the Sun Belt Conference. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 539 rushing yards through 3 contests, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers.

Neither will run away and hide, especially as Troy tries to get back up after the emotional win over Appalachian State. The records indicate a sizable divide between Arkansas State and Troy. And while the Trojans are the superior team, these schools are surprisingly close in overall talent level. The Trojans, though, will enjoy an edge at the line of scrimmage when Arkansas State has the ball. Their pass rush and toughness against the run will stifle the Red Wolves attack en route to an eighth straight win and the brink of a Sun Belt crown.

From front to back, its tough to find an area to exploit. Theres a reason why the Trojans are the Sun Belt frontrunner with three weeks leftno one in the league has a more complete team. Troy is balanced on offense, with the steady passing of Brandon Silvers and the tough running of Jordan Chunn. And the D is among the most consistent in the conference, beginning up front with linemen Baron Poole, Rashad Dillard and Junior Gnonkonde, a North Carolina transfer. The Trojans lead the league in run defense, sacks and takeaways.

Plus, the visitors defense knows how to harass a QB on the road. The Red Wolves play in a tough, noisy venue in Jonesboro and should be able to pressure Silvers on 3rd down and long. But thanks to Chunn and an OL that has produced 5 ypc this season, the Trojans wont be in 3rd down and long very often.

I just think its going to be a lot easier for Arkansas State to rebound in this spot. The big difference is the Red Wolves come in off an easy game last week against New Mexico State. Troy on the other hand played a huge game against Appalachian State. I also think theres a slight edge here to Arkansas State based on the schedule. Both teams are playing on short rest (4 days).