Pittsburgh Pirates (@2.55) vs Chicago Cubs (@1.5)

Our Prediction:

Chicago Cubs will win

Pittsburgh Pirates – Chicago Cubs Match Prediction | 13-09-2019 16:05

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmakers line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmakers line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

Jon Lester got the win to improve his record to 10-8 on the year after giving up just four hits while walking five and striking out three over six shutout innings. In his career, Quintana is 4-1 with a 2.81 ERA and 50 strikeouts against Pittsburgh. Kris Bryant had a solo home run while Addison Russell, Ian Happ and Jonathan Lucroy each had base hits as the Cubbies cranked out just four hits as a team in the winning effort. Jose Quintana will start game three and is 10-7 with a 4.11 ERA and 124 strikeouts this season. Rowan Wick closed out the 9th for his 1st save. The Chicago Cubs will look to win the set after taking game two on Saturday by a final score of 2-0.

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I covered this game yesterday and missed on the over, but what was more surprising was Pittsburgh escaping with a win. Or maybe it wasnt surprising given the Cubs form on the road. Pittsburgh has lost the last four game that Brault has started, but the Pirates are at home where you should play your best and Brault has pitched well enough to give the Pirates a chance, so Ill take a shot at Pittsburgh and the plus money here. Either way, this isnt a game Im trying to get behind. However, if forced to pick, Im still not a fan of the Cubs on the road, and while Lester has had success against Pittsburgh in the past and is coming off of a decent start at Cincinnati in his last outing, this is still a pitcher in Lester who has allowed 19 runs, 17 earned, across just 14 innings of work in his last three starts.

Quintana also hasnt taken a loss in any of his last eight starts dating back to late-May. The plus money with Pittsburgh would be worth a look, but Keller is still young in his career, and still has to prove that hes capable of handling the big boys despite a solid start on the road last time out. The Cubs need this game way more than Pittsburgh does, so Ill lay the juice with the Cubs on the road behind another strong start from Quintana. This is a hefty price for the Cubs on the road given their struggles away from Wrigley, but Quintana has been rolling, giving up one earned in back-to-back starts while striking out 21 over that short span.

Steven Brault will start game two and is 3-1 with a 4.33 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. Joe Musgrove allowed two runs on four hits while striking out nine over 7.1 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Colin Moran, Cole Tucker and Kevin Newman each had an RBI while Bryan Reynolds, Starling Marte and Jacob Stallings each had a base hit as well as the Pirates had just five hits as well in the victory. The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to build on their series opening win over Chicago from Friday. In his career, Brault is 0-0 with a 7.53 ERA and 19 strikeouts against the Cubs. Keone Kela got the win to improve to 2-0 on the year.

After we process it through our math predictor, we then provide a CHANCES OF COVERING percentage for that game, which lets you know if theres any value on the OVER in that game. = (Chances Game Going OVER) The C.O.G.O. percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. C.O.G.O. *Note: If theres a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, theres a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

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Chicago lost the game despite their home runs from Kyle Schwarber and Anthony Rizzo. Last night, Pittsburgh smashed seven runs with the help of Bryce Harper and they managed to restrict Chicago to five from the plate. At present, the Cubs are holding the top spot with the Cardinals. The Cubs are facing their own issues and they were unable to defeat Pittsburgh on Thursday. PNC Park will play host to Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday as they continue their series from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The Pirates are a long way out, but are trying their best to focus on winning.

As predicted the road is not being kind to the Cubs who have now lost three straight to the Pirates, for straight overall and 7 of their last 10. The Cubs should be in panic mode in an effort to stop the bleeding. The Chicago Cubs 45-42 SU will attempt to do a little better when they take on the Pirates 42-43 SU tonight in an effort to avoid the sweep.